Hello, Fintech Friends!
I was listening to Visa's earnings call over the weekend, and it reminded me why I think Visa is probably the greatest fintech ever built.
Visa started as BankAmericard in 1958 and now has 5 billion payment credentials, 175 million seller locations across more than 200 countries, and nearly 14,500 financial institutions as its clients. Last year it processed almost $17 trillion in payments volume. Connecting merchants and consumers in nearly every country on earth is an achievement I have always admired.
What I find more impressive is how Visa keeps evolving beyond being a card network.
Let's start with stablecoins. "We are active and investing in each layer of the stablecoin stack from blockchain to issuance, wallets, infrastructure and orchestration and applications," CEO Ryan McInerney said on last week's earnings call.
Visa joined Open Standard, the consortium of more than 140 companies that plans to issue Open USD. It launched the Visa Stablecoin Platform, which lets banks and fintechs mint, redeem, and move stablecoins and gives them onchain wallet infrastructure.
Visa also powers more than 160 stablecoin card programs, and its clients can settle with Visa in stablecoins across nine blockchains.
The processing business is the part I think gets the least attention. Visa bought Pismo, a Brazilian cloud-native core banking and issuer processing platform, for $1 billion in 2023. Pismo runs debit, credit, commercial cards, and deposit accounts on one API-based platform, and Visa has taken it into 19 new markets since the deal closed.
In April, Visa said Wells Fargo agreed to migrate to Pismo's core account ledger as part of a core banking modernization. For anyone who follows this market, a bank that size moving its core ledger onto a platform Visa owns is a major win.
This quarter Visa said it is combining Pismo with Visa DPS into DPS Full Service Credit, an integrated debit and credit issuer processing product for fintechs and small and midsize banks. It pilots in the fourth quarter with a first US client already signed and goes generally available next year.
DPS is the leading debit issuer processor in the US, running more than half of Visa's US debit volume. Adding credit processing puts Visa against Fiserv and FIS, which spent $13.5 billion in January buying Global Payments' issuer business to become the largest US credit card processor.
Fraud is the third area. Visa closed its acquisition of Featurespace in December 2024, reportedly for about $925 million. Featurespace scores transactions in real time to catch fraud as it happens, with clients including HSBC, NatWest, Worldpay, and Danske Bank.
This week Visa agreed to buy BioCatch for $2.4 billion in cash. The Israeli company reads how a person behaves rather than what they are paying for, tracking more than 3,000 signals in a session, including keystroke timing, mouse movement, touch gestures, how someone holds a phone, whether the device is jailbroken, and whether an AI agent is driving the session.
The two cover different parts of the same problem. Transaction scoring cannot catch a scam, where the customer authorizes the payment themselves. Account takeovers and scams cost the global economy more than $1 trillion a year, according to Visa's Andrew Torre.
Most of these new businesses sit in Visa's value-added services segment, which grew 34% in the latest quarter to $3.8 billion, close to a third of Visa's $11.6 billion in revenue.
Visa is an incumbent, and, in theory, incumbents lose the next cycle. I don't think that is the case with Visa. Twenty years from now it may not primarily be a card network, but I am fairly confident it will still be here.
Keep building, dear Visa team!
Jev Kazanins
p.s. Have feedback? Reach out on X
Charts Corner

Data source: Yahoo Finance


Data source: Yahoo Finance
Worth Watching
Chime cuts 10% of staff and points at AI
Chime $CHYM ( ▲ 4.01% ) is cutting about 10% of its staff, roughly 140 of its 1,500 employees. CEO Chris Britt framed it in last week’s memo as a shift to smaller, faster teams that make the most of the efficiency AI is creating. "Smaller teams with fewer layers are moving faster than ever and getting more done," he wrote. The company will also bring more people back into its offices, and Britt tied the move to accelerating growth just over a year after Chime went public.
Chime is the latest fintech to cut staff and credit AI. Visa said last week it would eliminate 7% of its workforce, and PayPal, Block, and Coinbase have all trimmed headcount in recent months. The pattern across the sector is the same. AI handles more of the work, so the teams get smaller. For Chime there is an extra signal in it. A year after its IPO, cutting costs while it rolls out new products like investing is how it tells public markets it can grow and widen margins at the same time.
Coinbase posts a loss as revenue falls again
Coinbase $COIN ( ▼ 0.52% ) reported falling revenue for the third quarter in a row. Revenue dropped 19% YoY to $1.22 billion, and the company posted a $360 million net loss, against a $1.43 billion profit a year ago. The crypto market has cooled since its peak, and trading, still Coinbase's biggest business, slowed with it. The stock fell 6% after hours, and is now down almost 40% YTD.
After the last crypto crash, Coinbase set out to depend less on trading. It built up steadier income from stablecoins, staking, interest, and subscriptions, which contributed $555 million in this quarter (compared to $329 million in Q2 2023). That cushion is keeping the company profitable on an adjusted EBITDA basis through this downturn. However, this was not enough, with Coinbase still cutting 14% of staff in May, the same thing it did last cycle. Diversification helped, but it did not spare Coinbase another round of losses and layoffs.
Prediction markets break out at Robinhood
Robinhood $HOOD ( ▲ 0.45% ) has been launching new businesses at a fast clip, from its own blockchain to Trump Accounts to a credit card. This quarter one of them stood out. Event contracts, its prediction-markets business, brought in $156 million, up more than 10-fold from a year ago, more than Robinhood made on either equities or crypto. CEO Vlad Tenev called it the fastest-growing business in the company's history. It runs on Rothera, a CFTC-licensed exchange Robinhood launched in June with Susquehanna, and got a boost from the FIFA World Cup.
Prediction markets are becoming a real business just as crypto cools. Robinhood's crypto revenue fell 38% in the quarter, but its newer lines more than made up for it, and total revenue still reached a record. It also went further than most, owning the exchange behind the trades rather than routing them to a venue like Kalshi. The open question is durability. A lot of the quarter came from the World Cup, and event trading tends to spike around elections and tournaments, then quiet down. Robinhood will need to show it holds up between the big events.
Multiples

Data source: Yahoo Finance

Data source: Yahoo Finance



